Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.99
Edge
+1.0%Last 2
100%2/2 over 0.5
Window avg
1.00
Median
1.0
L5
100%
2/2
L10
100%
2/2
L20
100%
2/2
2026
100%
1/1
Avg1.00
StreakW2
Parlay pairs — when Blaze Alexander clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Pete Alonso o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 64% · n=41 · -250 BetOnline
Adley Rutschman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 61% · n=28 · -252 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 2 vs 0.5
vs CHC only · official box scoresTonight's odds — Hits
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline | 0.5 | -192 | +146 |
Line movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs CHC — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Adley Rutschman BAL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Gunnar Henderson BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Samuel Basallo BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Pete Alonso BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Coby Mayo BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Taylor Ward BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dylan Beavers BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jackson Holliday BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Masyn Winn STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
OPS
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
AVG