Josh Naylor

Seattle Mariners · 1B · Bats L

Tonight's line

1.5

Model proj

1.30

Edge

-7.3%

Batter Strikeouts Hits Hits + Runs + RBIs Home Runs RBIs Runs Scored Stolen Bases Total Bases Walks

Last20

Trending splits

Last 20

36%5/14 over 1 · 6 push

Window avg

0.95

Median

1.0

33%

1/3

L10

33%

2/6

L20

36%

5/14

2026

38%

11/29

Avg1.70

Streak—

Total Bases — last 20 vs 1

home only · official box scores

Parlay pairs — when Josh Naylor clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Colt Emerson o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 71% · base 45% · n=14 · -127 DraftKings

Colt Emerson o0.5 Total Bases

hits when he does 71% · base 45% · n=14 · -125 Fanatics

J.P. Crawford o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 66% · base 59% · n=59 · -191 DraftKings

Cole Young o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 61% · base 56% · n=41 · -167 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

Book	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings	+134	-179
Caesars	+132	-176
Bovada	+135	-180
BetOnline	+139	-182

Total Bases · best price bolded · odds refresh every poll

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

DraftKingsCaesarsBovadaBetOnline

League vs TB — Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Ben Rice NYY

07/09

Naylor's hitting zones (batter data)

Where he produces at the plate — official MLB hot/cold zones from his own at-bats, catcher's view, red hot / blue cold. Compare against the opposing pitcher's arsenal above: a fastball-heavy righty living up-and-in is a problem if that zone runs cold.

Advantage: hits .467 up · Weakness: .091 down-and-in

OPS

AVG

onBasePercentage

Exit Velo

sluggingPercentage