Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Josh Naylor

Seattle Mariners · 1B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.96
Edge
-6.0%
Last 400
45%109/240 over 1 · 160 push
Window avg
1.00
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/2
L10
33%
2/6
L20
40%
4/10
2026
44%
23/52
Avg1.00
Streak

Hitslast 400 vs 1

official box scores
1vs AZ05/311vs NYM06/010vs NYM06/032@ DET06/051@ DET06/062@ DET06/072@ BAL06/081@ BAL06/091@ BAL06/100@ BAL06/111@ WSH06/120@ WSH06/131@ WSH06/141vs BAL06/181vs BOS06/191vs BOS06/200vs BOS06/212@ PIT06/232@ PIT06/241@ PIT06/250@ CLE06/261@ CLE06/272@ CLE06/280vs LAA06/292vs LAA06/300vs LAA07/020vs TOR07/031vs TOR07/041vs TOR07/051@ MIA07/071

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-258+190

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs MIA Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Cal Raleigh SEA07/072
Randy Arozarena SEA07/072
Luke Raley SEA07/071
Cole Young SEA07/071
J.P. Crawford SEA07/071
Dominic Canzone SEA07/070
Victor Robles SEA07/070
Colt Emerson SEA07/070
Jonah Heim OAK07/052
Brian Serven OAK07/051
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK07/051
Carlos Cortes OAK07/051
Lawrence Butler OAK07/051
Zack Gelof OAK07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
91.8887.9781.2393.3191.0483.8185.3886.5887.01
sluggingPercentage
.217.667.391.321.500.643.304.379.364
AVG
.217.467.217.179.281.357.304.241.091
OPS
.4351.133.609.500.7811.000.609.621.455
onBasePercentage
.217.467.217.179.281.357.304.241.091