Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Josh Naylor

Seattle Mariners · 1B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.43
Edge
Last 10
70%7/10 over 0.5
Window avg
0.70
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
64%
14/22
Avg0.71
StreakW4

Tonight's matchup: Tyler Phillips (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Sinker
25.2%
95.8.266.3138.1%
Sweeper
24.1%
84.2.267.53333.3%
Splitter
24.0%
87.4.176.17620.0%
Curveball
16.5%
83.6.214.32132.8%
Four-seam FB
9.1%
96.3.270.4307.5%
Slider
1.1%
88.7.182.29534.4%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Batter Strikeoutslast 10 vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs CWS05/190@ OAK05/260@ OAK05/271@ DET06/051@ BAL06/090@ WSH06/141vs BOS06/191vs BOS06/201vs BOS06/211@ CLE06/260.5

Tonight's odds — Batter Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
DK Pick60.5-137
Betr Picks0.5-137

Line movement — Batter Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.511:15 AM ET11:15 AM ET
Betr PicksDK Pick6

League vs MIA Batter Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

J.P. Crawford SEA07/073
Cal Raleigh SEA07/072
Dominic Canzone SEA07/072
Colt Emerson SEA07/071
Victor Robles SEA07/070
Randy Arozarena SEA07/070
Luke Raley SEA07/070
Cole Young SEA07/070
Max Muncy OAK07/052
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK07/052
Nick Kurtz OAK07/052
Lawrence Butler OAK07/051
Henry Bolte OAK07/051
Brian Serven OAK07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.4351.133.609.500.7811.000.609.621.455
AVG
.217.467.217.179.281.357.304.241.091
onBasePercentage
.217.467.217.179.281.357.304.241.091
sluggingPercentage
.217.667.391.321.500.643.304.379.364
Exit Velo
91.8887.9781.2393.3191.0483.8185.3886.5887.01