Josh Naylor

Seattle Mariners · 1B · Bats L

Tonight's line

0.5

Model proj

0.39

Edge

-8.1%

Batter Strikeouts Hits Hits + Runs + RBIs Home Runs RBIs Runs Scored Stolen Bases Total Bases Walks

Last10

Trending splits

Last 9

56%5/9 over 0.5

Window avg

0.67

Median

1.0

60%

3/5

L10

56%

5/9

L20

56%

5/9

2026

50%

1/2

Avg0.67

StreakL1

Runs Scored — last 9 vs 0.5

vs MIA only · official box scores

Parlay pairs — when Josh Naylor clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Colt Emerson o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 67% · base 44% · n=15 · -147 BetOnline

Colt Emerson o0.5 Total Bases

hits when he does 67% · base 44% · n=15 · -140 Fanatics

Cole Young o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 64% · base 57% · n=36 · -182 BetRivers

Colt Emerson o0.5 RBIs

hits when he does 60% · base 31% · n=15 · +240 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

Book	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
BetMGM	+130	-175

Runs Scored · best price bolded · odds refresh every poll

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

BetMGMDabble

League vs MIA — Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Victor Robles SEA	07/08	✗
Cal Raleigh SEA	07/08	✗
Colt Emerson SEA	07/08	✗

Naylor's hitting zones (batter data)

Where he produces at the plate — official MLB hot/cold zones from his own at-bats, catcher's view, red hot / blue cold. Compare against the opposing pitcher's arsenal above: a fastball-heavy righty living up-and-in is a problem if that zone runs cold.

Advantage: hits .467 up · Weakness: .091 down-and-in

OPS

AVG

onBasePercentage

Exit Velo

sluggingPercentage