Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
2.25
Edge
+3.2%Last 20
40%8/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.90
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
46%
42/92
Avg2.06
StreakL3
Parlay pairs — when Yordan Alvarez clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Spencer Arrighetti o15.5 Pitcher Outs
hits when he does 76% · base 59% · n=21 · -111 DraftKings
Spencer Arrighetti o4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 76% · base 68% · n=21 · -131 DraftKings
Jose Altuve o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 69% · n=114 · -240 DraftKings
Yainer Diaz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 68% · n=93 · -230 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 1.5
official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs WSH — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Jose Altuve HOU | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Brice Matthews HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Christian Vázquez HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Nick Allen HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Isaac Paredes HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Christian Walker HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Cam Smith HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Zach Dezenzo HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Yainer Diaz HOU | 07/06 | 5 | ✓ |
| Brice Matthews HOU | 07/06 | 5 | ✓ |
| Jose Altuve HOU | 07/06 | 4 | ✓ |
| Christian Walker HOU | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Braden Shewmake HOU | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Cam Smith HOU | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS