Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Yordan Alvarez

Houston Astros · DH · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
2.25
Edge
+3.2%
Last 5
20%1/5 over 1.5
Window avg
1.00
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
1/5
L20
20%
1/5
2026
0%
0/2
Avg1.00
StreakL3

Parlay pairs — when Yordan Alvarez clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Spencer Arrighetti o15.5 Pitcher Outs
hits when he does 76% · base 59% · n=21 · -111 DraftKings
Spencer Arrighetti o4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 76% · base 68% · n=21 · -131 DraftKings
Jose Altuve o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 69% · n=114 · -240 DraftKings
Yainer Diaz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 68% · n=93 · -230 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 5 vs 1.5

vs WSH only · official box scores
0@ WSH04/193@ WSH04/201@ WSH04/211@ WSH07/060@ WSH07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5-126-106
PrizePicks1.5-137-137
Underdog1.5-137-137
Betr Picks1.5-137-137
Bovada1.5-125-105

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET9:38 AM ET
DraftKingsBovadaUnderdogPrizePicksBetr Picks

League vs WSH Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Jose Altuve HOU07/074
Christian Vázquez HOU07/071
Isaac Paredes HOU07/071
Nick Allen HOU07/071
Brice Matthews HOU07/071
Christian Walker HOU07/071
Zach Dezenzo HOU07/070
Cam Smith HOU07/070
Brice Matthews HOU07/065
Yainer Diaz HOU07/065
Jose Altuve HOU07/064
Braden Shewmake HOU07/063
Christian Walker HOU07/063
Cam Smith HOU07/062

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.400.296.200.333.318.367.375.381.586
Exit Velo
97.0097.3392.0393.1698.0895.8195.2496.7099.48
sluggingPercentage
.182.667.429.478.818.933.7501.049.931
AVG
.182.296.214.304.318.367.375.390.586
OPS
.533.963.600.7921.1361.3001.1251.4051.517