Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.24
Edge
+7.0%Last 20
25%5/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.25
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
26%
6/23
Avg0.26
StreakL7
Tonight's matchup: Grant Holmes (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slider | 38.0% | 85.3 | .400 | .800 | 45.0% |
| Four-seam FB | 31.7% | 94.2 | .381 | .952 | 39.1% |
| Sinker | 10.3% | 93.1 | .438 | .625 | 22.5% |
| Curveball | 8.1% | 82.9 | .333 | .833 | 25.0% |
| Cutter | 6.5% | 92.2 | — | — | — |
| Changeup | 5.5% | 89.6 | .143 | .143 | 80.0% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Home Runs — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +619 | -588 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs ATL — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 3/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Ryan O'Hearn PIT | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Bryan Reynolds PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nick Gonzales PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tyler Callihan PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brandon Lowe PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jared Triolo PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Henry Davis PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Mangum PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Carson Benge NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Juan Soto NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| A.J. Ewing NYM | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jared Young NYM | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ronny Mauricio NYM | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brett Baty NYM | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS