Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.44
Edge
-1.6%Last 20
45%9/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.55
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
40%
36/90
Avg0.47
StreakL2
Tonight's matchup: Roki Sasaki (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 43.2% | 97.5 | .298 | .500 | 14.2% |
| Splitter | 24.3% | 90.2 | .400 | .700 | 35.0% |
| Slider | 21.9% | 86.6 | .293 | .585 | 41.4% |
| Forkball | 10.6% | 85.2 | — | — | — |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when TJ Rumfield clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Tyler Freeman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 82% · base 70% · n=17 · -167 dabble_us_dfs
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 61% · n=32 · -175 dabble_us_dfs
Kyle Karros o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 59% · n=32 · -120 dabble_us_dfs
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 61% · n=20 · -164 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +167 | -167 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs LAD — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Cole Carrigg COL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Kyle Karros COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Willi Castro COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake McCarthy COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ezequiel Tovar COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Braxton Fulford COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Mickey Moniak COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tyler Freeman COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cole Carrigg COL | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Ezequiel Tovar COL | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Willi Castro COL | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Troy Johnston COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake McCarthy COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyle Karros COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
OPS
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
onBasePercentage