Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.08
Edge
-4.8%Last 20
15%3/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.15
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
15%
3/20
2026
13%
12/90
Avg0.13
StreakL15
Tonight's matchup: Roki Sasaki (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 43.2% | 97.5 | .298 | .500 | 14.2% |
| Splitter | 24.3% | 90.2 | .400 | .700 | 35.0% |
| Slider | 21.9% | 86.6 | .293 | .585 | 41.4% |
| Forkball | 10.6% | 85.2 | — | — | — |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when TJ Rumfield clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too
Jake McCarthy o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 69% · n=9 · -192 dabble_us_dfs
Jake McCarthy o1.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 78% · base 46% · n=9 · +157 dabble_us_dfs
Edouard Julien o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 45% · n=8 · +104 dabble_us_dfs
Edouard Julien o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 63% · base 45% · n=8 · +120 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Home Runs — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +688 | -667 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs LAD — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 1/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Mickey Moniak COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake McCarthy COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tyler Freeman COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyle Karros COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ezequiel Tovar COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Braxton Fulford COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cole Carrigg COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Willi Castro COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ezequiel Tovar COL | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Willi Castro COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Troy Johnston COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake McCarthy COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Hunter Goodman COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tyler Freeman COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
OPS
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
onBasePercentage