Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Kazuma Okamoto

Toronto Blue Jays · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.90
Edge
+4.7%
Last 30
57%17/30 over 0.5
Window avg
0.77
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
61%
31/51
Avg0.86
StreakW3

Tonight's matchup: Logan Webb (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Sinker
31.6%
92.2.214.42924.1%
Changeup
24.0%
86.1.182.31834.0%
Sweeper
19.2%
84.2.206.41241.3%
Four-seam FB
13.2%
92.4.301.60229.6%
Cutter
12.0%
89.9.053.05345.0%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Kazuma Okamoto clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 48% · n=13 · -172 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 30 vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs TB05/120vs TB05/131@ DET05/151@ NYY05/180@ NYY05/190@ NYY05/200@ NYY05/210vs PIT05/221vs MIA05/251vs MIA05/260@ BAL05/281@ BAL05/292@ ATL06/021@ ATL06/032@ ATL06/042vs BAL06/050vs PHI06/081vs PHI06/090vs PHI06/101vs NYY06/120@ BOS06/160@ BOS06/172vs HOU06/220vs HOU06/242vs TEX06/252vs TEX06/260vs NYM06/291@ SEA07/031@ SF07/061@ SF07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-140+106
dabble_us_dfs0.5-159+161

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs SF Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Ernie Clement TOR07/072
Jonatan Clase TOR07/072
Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Sean Keys TOR07/072
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/071
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071
Daulton Varsho TOR07/070
Nathan Lukes TOR07/070
Ernie Clement TOR07/061
Nathan Lukes TOR07/061
Alejandro Kirk TOR07/060
Andrés Giménez TOR07/060
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/060
Myles Straw TOR07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
91.4493.8996.5085.8296.3795.74103.1693.1489.50
AVG
.231.174.200.158.378.382.429.277.267
sluggingPercentage
.462.348.350.158.595.9711.571.574.267
onBasePercentage
.231.174.200.158.368.400.400.277.267
OPS
.692.522.550.316.9471.3431.867.851.533