Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Kazuma Okamoto

Toronto Blue Jays · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.90
Edge
+4.7%
Trending splitsAway 55%(40)
All 37 games
65%24/37 over 0.5
Window avg
0.86
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
65%
24/37
Avg0.86
StreakL2

Tonight's matchup: Logan Webb (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Sinker
31.6%
92.2.214.42924.1%
Changeup
24.0%
86.1.182.31834.0%
Sweeper
19.2%
84.2.206.41241.3%
Four-seam FB
13.2%
92.4.301.60229.6%
Cutter
12.0%
89.9.053.05345.0%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Kazuma Okamoto clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 48% · n=13 · -172 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitsall 37 games vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs MIN04/120@ MIL04/162@ AZ04/191@ LAA04/222vs CLE04/250vs CLE04/261vs BOS04/292@ MIN05/021@ MIN05/031@ TB05/061vs LAA05/091vs LAA05/100@ DET05/161vs PIT05/241vs MIA05/271@ BAL05/300@ BAL05/312vs BAL06/061vs BAL06/071vs NYY06/132vs NYY06/141@ BOS06/180@ CHC06/191@ CHC06/203vs HOU06/230vs TEX06/270vs TEX06/282vs NYM07/010@ SEA07/040@ SEA07/050.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-140+106
dabble_us_dfs0.5-159+161

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs SF Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Sean Keys TOR07/072
Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Ernie Clement TOR07/072
Jonatan Clase TOR07/072
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/071
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071
Daulton Varsho TOR07/070
Nathan Lukes TOR07/070
Ernie Clement TOR07/061
Nathan Lukes TOR07/061
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/060
Alejandro Kirk TOR07/060
Sean Keys TOR07/060
Andrés Giménez TOR07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
91.4493.8996.5085.8296.3795.74103.1693.1489.50
AVG
.231.174.200.158.378.382.429.277.267
sluggingPercentage
.462.348.350.158.595.9711.571.574.267
onBasePercentage
.231.174.200.158.368.400.400.277.267
OPS
.692.522.550.316.9471.3431.867.851.533