Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Kazuma Okamoto

Toronto Blue Jays · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.90
Edge
+4.7%
Last 10
29%2/7 over 1 · 3 push
Window avg
0.70
Median
0.5
L5
0%
0/2
L10
29%
2/7
L20
40%
6/15
2026
38%
20/53
Avg0.86
Streak

Tonight's matchup: Logan Webb (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Sinker
31.6%
92.2.214.42924.1%
Changeup
24.0%
86.1.182.31834.0%
Sweeper
19.2%
84.2.206.41241.3%
Four-seam FB
13.2%
92.4.301.60229.6%
Cutter
12.0%
89.9.053.05345.0%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Kazuma Okamoto clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 48% · n=13 · -172 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 10 vs 1

official box scores
2vs TEX06/260vs TEX06/270vs TEX06/280vs NYM06/292vs NYM07/011@ SEA07/030@ SEA07/040@ SEA07/051@ SF07/061@ SF07/071

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-140+106
dabble_us_dfs0.5-159+161

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs SF Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Sean Keys TOR07/072
Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Ernie Clement TOR07/072
Jonatan Clase TOR07/072
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/071
Nathan Lukes TOR07/070
Daulton Varsho TOR07/070
Nathan Lukes TOR07/061
Ernie Clement TOR07/061
Andrés Giménez TOR07/060
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/060
Myles Straw TOR07/060
Daulton Varsho TOR07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
91.4493.8996.5085.8296.3795.74103.1693.1489.50
AVG
.231.174.200.158.378.382.429.277.267
sluggingPercentage
.462.348.350.158.595.9711.571.574.267
onBasePercentage
.231.174.200.158.368.400.400.277.267
OPS
.692.522.550.316.9471.3431.867.851.533