Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Kazuma Okamoto

Toronto Blue Jays · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.90
Edge
+4.8%
Last 5
60%3/5 over 0.5
Window avg
0.60
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
70%
14/20
2026
64%
43/67
Avg0.88
StreakW3

Tonight's matchup: Logan Webb (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Sinker
31.6%
92.2.214.42924.1%
Changeup
24.0%
86.1.182.31834.0%
Sweeper
19.2%
84.2.206.41241.3%
Four-seam FB
13.2%
92.4.301.60229.6%
Cutter
12.0%
89.9.053.05345.0%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Kazuma Okamoto clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Dylan Cease o6.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 88% · base 76% · n=8 · -139 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 5 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ SEA07/040@ SEA07/051@ SF07/061@ SF07/071@ SF07/080.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-140+106
dabble_us_dfs0.5-159+161

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs SF Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Nathan Lukes TOR07/082
Ernie Clement TOR07/081
Daulton Varsho TOR07/081
Jonatan Clase TOR07/080
Andrés Giménez TOR07/080
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/080
George Springer TOR07/080
Alejandro Kirk TOR07/080
Sean Keys TOR07/072
Jonatan Clase TOR07/072
Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Ernie Clement TOR07/072
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/071
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
91.4493.8996.5085.8296.3795.74103.1693.1489.50
AVG
.231.174.200.158.378.382.429.277.267
sluggingPercentage
.462.348.350.158.595.9711.571.574.267
onBasePercentage
.231.174.200.158.368.400.400.277.267
OPS
.692.522.550.316.9471.3431.867.851.533