Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Kazuma Okamoto

Toronto Blue Jays · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.03
Edge
-22.3%
Last 20
40%8/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.25
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
45%
10/22
Avg1.32
StreakW1

Tonight's matchup: Logan Webb (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Sinker
31.6%
92.2.214.42924.1%
Changeup
24.0%
86.1.182.31834.0%
Sweeper
19.2%
84.2.206.41241.3%
Four-seam FB
13.2%
92.4.301.60229.6%
Cutter
12.0%
89.9.053.05345.0%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Kazuma Okamoto clears 1.5 Batter Strikeouts, these hit too

Ernie Clement o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 82% · base 74% · n=33 · -217 dabble_us_dfs
Nathan Lukes o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 79% · base 64% · n=19 · -198 DraftKings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 60% · n=32 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
George Springer o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 62% · n=25 · -208 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Batter Strikeoutslast 20 vs 1.5

official box scores
1vs LAD04/061@ LAA04/201vs CLE04/250vs BOS04/271vs BOS04/280@ MIN05/020@ TB05/061vs LAA05/082vs TB05/123@ NYY05/182@ NYY05/211@ BAL05/292@ ATL06/042vs PHI06/082vs PHI06/101vs NYY06/121@ BOS06/162@ BOS06/170vs TEX06/252vs NYM06/291.5

Tonight's odds — Batter Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
DK Pick61.5-137-137

Line movement — Batter Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs SF Batter Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 1/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Sean Keys TOR07/071
Andrés Giménez TOR07/071
Jonatan Clase TOR07/071
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/071
Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/071
Daulton Varsho TOR07/070
Nathan Lukes TOR07/070
Ernie Clement TOR07/070
Sean Keys TOR07/063
Andrés Giménez TOR07/061
Daulton Varsho TOR07/061
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/061
Alejandro Kirk TOR07/060
Myles Straw TOR07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
91.4493.8996.5085.8296.3795.74103.1693.1489.50
AVG
.231.174.200.158.378.382.429.277.267
sluggingPercentage
.462.348.350.158.595.9711.571.574.267
onBasePercentage
.231.174.200.158.368.400.400.277.267
OPS
.692.522.550.316.9471.3431.867.851.533