Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Kevin McGonigle

Detroit Tigers · 3B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.72
Edge
+1.4%
Trending splitsvs LHP 38%(24)
Last 20
45%9/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.60
Median
0.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
52%
46/88
Avg0.64
StreakW2

Tonight's matchup: Jeffrey Springs (LHP)

Bats LeftThrows LeftSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
43.7%
91.4.275.43110.8%
Slider
26.0%
83.9.188.34420.6%
Changeup
22.8%
79.5.295.29530.4%
Sweeper
5.7%
76.7.100.20026.7%
Cutter
1.8%
88.4.259.37011.3%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Kevin McGonigle clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 56% · n=46 · -152 dabble_us_dfs
Dillon Dingler o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 57% · n=40 · -253 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Runs Scoredlast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
2@ HOU06/150@ HOU06/161@ HOU06/170vs CWS06/190vs CWS06/200vs CWS06/210vs NYY06/220vs NYY06/230vs NYY06/240vs HOU06/252vs HOU06/261vs HOU06/271vs HOU06/281@ NYY06/290@ NYY06/302@ NYY07/010@ TEX07/020@ TEX07/041@ TEX07/051vs OAK07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

BookLineOverUnder
PrizePicks0.5-137-137
Underdog0.5-137-137
Betr Picks0.5-137-137
dabble_us_dfs0.5+102-101

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.59:38 AM ET11:15 AM ET
UnderdogPrizePicksBetr Picksdabble_us_dfs

League vs OAK Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Zach McKinstry DET07/071
Matt Vierling DET07/071
Colt Keith DET07/071
Spencer Torkelson DET07/071
James Outman DET07/070
Riley Greene DET07/070
Kerry Carpenter DET07/070
Dillon Dingler DET07/070
Jakob Marsee MIA07/052
Otto Lopez MIA07/052
Heriberto Hernández MIA07/052
Leo Jiménez MIA07/051
Esteury Ruiz MIA07/051
Brian Navarreto MIA07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.250.250.273.344.388.344.200.400.333
Exit Velo
91.7792.0778.8192.9695.2183.8287.6186.4393.09
AVG
.250.250.273.344.388.344.200.400.333
sluggingPercentage
.313.472.318.500.673.563.200.486.389
OPS
.563.722.591.8441.061.906.400.886.722