Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Kevin McGonigle

Detroit Tigers · 3B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.24
Edge
+4.9%
Last 20
75%15/20 over 0.5
Window avg
1.20
Median
1.0
L5
100%
5/5
L10
90%
9/10
L20
75%
15/20
2026
72%
38/53
Avg1.02
StreakW7

Tonight's matchup: Jeffrey Springs (LHP)

Bats LeftThrows LeftSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
43.7%
91.4.275.43110.8%
Slider
26.0%
83.9.188.34420.6%
Changeup
22.8%
79.5.295.29530.4%
Sweeper
5.7%
76.7.100.20026.7%
Cutter
1.8%
88.4.259.37011.3%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Kevin McGonigle clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 56% · n=66 · -171 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
3vs LAA05/262vs LAA05/270@ CWS05/291@ TB06/011vs SEA06/050vs MIN06/090vs MIN06/100@ CLE06/122@ HOU06/151@ HOU06/161vs CWS06/192vs NYY06/220vs NYY06/232vs NYY06/241vs HOU06/251vs HOU06/262@ NYY06/291@ NYY06/302@ TEX07/022vs OAK07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-238+176

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs OAK Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Zach McKinstry DET07/072
Spencer Torkelson DET07/071
Matt Vierling DET07/071
Colt Keith DET07/071
Riley Greene DET07/070
James Outman DET07/070
Kerry Carpenter DET07/070
Dillon Dingler DET07/070
Heriberto Hernández MIA07/053
Otto Lopez MIA07/053
Liam Hicks MIA07/052
Xavier Edwards MIA07/052
Brian Navarreto MIA07/052
Jakob Marsee MIA07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.250.250.273.344.388.344.200.400.333
Exit Velo
91.7792.0778.8192.9695.2183.8287.6186.4393.09
AVG
.250.250.273.344.388.344.200.400.333
sluggingPercentage
.313.472.318.500.673.563.200.486.389
OPS
.563.722.591.8441.061.906.400.886.722