Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Kevin McGonigle

Detroit Tigers · 3B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.24
Edge
+4.9%
Last 5
80%4/5 over 0.5
Window avg
1.40
Median
2.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
75%
15/20
2026
77%
49/64
Avg1.14
StreakW2

Parlay pairs — when Kevin McGonigle clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 56% · n=66 · -171 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 5 vs 0.5

official box scores
1@ NYY07/012@ TEX07/020@ TEX07/042@ TEX07/052vs OAK07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-238+176

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs OAK Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Zach McKinstry DET07/072
Matt Vierling DET07/071
Spencer Torkelson DET07/071
Colt Keith DET07/071
Riley Greene DET07/070
James Outman DET07/070
Dillon Dingler DET07/070
Kerry Carpenter DET07/070
Otto Lopez MIA07/053
Heriberto Hernández MIA07/053
Xavier Edwards MIA07/052
Liam Hicks MIA07/052
Brian Navarreto MIA07/052
Jakob Marsee MIA07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
91.7792.1578.8192.9695.2183.8287.6186.4392.42
onBasePercentage
.250.257.273.344.388.344.200.400.294
sluggingPercentage
.313.486.318.500.673.563.200.486.353
OPS
.563.743.591.8441.061.906.400.886.647
AVG
.250.257.273.344.388.344.200.400.294