Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.24
Edge
+4.9%All 24 games
75%18/24 over 0.5
Window avg
0.92
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
75%
15/20
2026
75%
18/24
Avg0.92
StreakW2
Tonight's matchup: Jeffrey Springs (LHP)
Bats LeftThrows LeftSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 43.7% | 91.4 | .275 | .431 | 10.8% |
| Slider | 26.0% | 83.9 | .188 | .344 | 20.6% |
| Changeup | 22.8% | 79.5 | .295 | .295 | 30.4% |
| Sweeper | 5.7% | 76.7 | .100 | .200 | 26.7% |
| Cutter | 1.8% | 88.4 | .259 | .370 | 11.3% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Kevin McGonigle clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 56% · n=66 · -152 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — all 24 games vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs OAK — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Zach McKinstry DET | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Matt Vierling DET | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Colt Keith DET | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Spencer Torkelson DET | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| James Outman DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kerry Carpenter DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Riley Greene DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dillon Dingler DET | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Otto Lopez MIA | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Heriberto Hernández MIA | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Xavier Edwards MIA | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Liam Hicks MIA | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Brian Navarreto MIA | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Esteury Ruiz MIA | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS