Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Brice Matthews

Houston Astros · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.00
Edge
+2.6%
Last 10
30%3/10 over 0.5
Window avg
0.70
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
42%
30/71
Avg1.04
StreakW2

Tonight's matchup: Foster Griffin (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Cutter
32.1%
88.1.294.64723.5%
Four-seam FB
17.1%
91.5.254.38137.0%
Sweeper
14.5%
79.8.154.15438.7%
Curveball
10.5%
77.8.100.10041.2%
Changeup
10.4%
82.4.130.13046.5%
Sinker
10.3%
91.2.265.64723.7%
Splitter
5.1%
81.2.000.00053.8%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Total Baseslast 10 vs 0.5

official box scores
1@ TOR06/220@ TOR06/230@ TOR06/240@ DET06/250@ DET06/260@ DET06/270@ DET06/280vs MIN07/015@ WSH07/061@ WSH07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
Betr Picks0.5-137-137

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs WSH Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jose Altuve HOU07/074
Nick Allen HOU07/071
Christian Vázquez HOU07/071
Isaac Paredes HOU07/071
Christian Walker HOU07/071
Cam Smith HOU07/070
Zach Dezenzo HOU07/070
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/070
Yainer Diaz HOU07/065
Jose Altuve HOU07/064
Christian Walker HOU07/063
Braden Shewmake HOU07/063
Cam Smith HOU07/062
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.111.231.000.278.242.000.600.429.190
Exit Velo
72.2992.1193.0980.8292.2386.8893.7790.1786.32
AVG
.125.231.000.235.242.000.600.429.200
sluggingPercentage
.125.538.000.412.515.0001.500.429.350
OPS
.222.769.000.667.758.0002.100.857.524