Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Brice Matthews

Houston Astros · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.48
Edge
+2.1%
Last 20
35%7/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.40
Median
0.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
28%
20/71
Avg0.35
StreakW3

Tonight's matchup: Foster Griffin (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Cutter
32.1%
88.1.294.64723.5%
Four-seam FB
17.1%
91.5.254.38137.0%
Sweeper
14.5%
79.8.154.15438.7%
Curveball
10.5%
77.8.100.10041.2%
Changeup
10.4%
82.4.130.13046.5%
Sinker
10.3%
91.2.265.64723.7%
Splitter
5.1%
81.2.000.00053.8%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Brice Matthews clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Yainer Diaz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 79% · base 73% · n=14 · -196 dabble_us_dfs
Christian Walker o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 64% · n=23 · -182 dabble_us_dfs
Isaac Paredes o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 63% · n=22 · -167 dabble_us_dfs
Cam Smith o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 58% · n=24 · -175 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Runs Scoredlast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
1@ LAA06/080@ LAA06/090@ LAA06/101@ KC06/121@ KC06/130@ KC06/140vs DET06/150vs DET06/160vs CLE06/190vs CLE06/200@ TOR06/220@ TOR06/231@ TOR06/240@ DET06/250@ DET06/260@ DET06/270@ DET06/281vs MIN07/012@ WSH07/061@ WSH07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

BookLineOverUnder
dabble_us_dfs0.5+180-179

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs WSH Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Zach Dezenzo HOU07/072
Christian Walker HOU07/072
Jose Altuve HOU07/071
Christian Vázquez HOU07/070
Isaac Paredes HOU07/070
Nick Allen HOU07/070
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/070
Cam Smith HOU07/070
Braden Shewmake HOU07/062
Cam Smith HOU07/062
Yainer Diaz HOU07/062
LaMonte Wade Jr. HOU07/061
Isaac Paredes HOU07/061
Jose Altuve HOU07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.111.231.000.278.242.000.600.429.190
Exit Velo
72.2992.1193.0980.8292.2386.8893.7790.1786.32
AVG
.125.231.000.235.242.000.600.429.200
sluggingPercentage
.125.538.000.412.515.0001.500.429.350
OPS
.222.769.000.667.758.0002.100.857.524