Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Brice Matthews

Houston Astros · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.58
Edge
-7.2%
Last 5
0%0/4 over 2 · 1 push
Window avg
0.60
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/4
L10
0%
0/9
L20
0%
0/18
2026
2%
1/63
Avg0.56
StreakL1

Tonight's matchup: Foster Griffin (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Cutter
32.1%
88.1.294.64723.5%
Four-seam FB
17.1%
91.5.254.38137.0%
Sweeper
14.5%
79.8.154.15438.7%
Curveball
10.5%
77.8.100.10041.2%
Changeup
10.4%
82.4.130.13046.5%
Sinker
10.3%
91.2.265.64723.7%
Splitter
5.1%
81.2.000.00053.8%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Hitslast 5 vs 2

official box scores
0@ DET06/270@ DET06/280vs MIN07/012@ WSH07/061@ WSH07/072

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-121-109
Betr Picks0.5-137
dabble_us_dfs0.5-114+115

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsUnderdogPrizePicksBetr Picksdabble_us_dfs

League vs WSH Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Christian Walker HOU07/071
Jose Altuve HOU07/071
Isaac Paredes HOU07/071
Christian Vázquez HOU07/071
Nick Allen HOU07/071
Cam Smith HOU07/070
Zach Dezenzo HOU07/070
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/070
Yainer Diaz HOU07/062
Christian Walker HOU07/062
Braden Shewmake HOU07/062
Cam Smith HOU07/062
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/061
Jose Altuve HOU07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.111.231.000.278.242.000.600.429.190
Exit Velo
72.2992.1193.0980.8292.2386.8893.7790.1786.32
AVG
.125.231.000.235.242.000.600.429.200
sluggingPercentage
.125.538.000.412.515.0001.500.429.350
OPS
.222.769.000.667.758.0002.100.857.524