Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.67
Edge
+7.8%Trending splitsvs LHP 26%(19)
Last 20
60%12/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.90
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
48%
38/80
Avg0.43
StreakW1
Tonight's matchup: George Kirby (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweeper | 29.9% | 87.1 | .235 | .294 | 8.0% |
| Four-seam FB | 29.4% | 96.7 | .258 | .427 | 4.0% |
| Sinker | 21.0% | 96.9 | .320 | .320 | 2.6% |
| Knuckle Curve | 9.9% | 83.8 | — | — | — |
| Changeup | 6.7% | 88.7 | .326 | .512 | 18.9% |
| Cutter | 3.0% | 93.2 | .333 | .556 | 2.6% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Liam Hicks clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Otto Lopez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 87% · base 74% · n=67 · -271 DraftKings
Joe Mack o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 79% · base 55% · n=19 · -130 DraftKings
Xavier Edwards o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 73% · n=65 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 62% · n=50 · -196 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +144 | -143 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
dabble_us_dfsBetr Picks
League vs SEA — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Javier Sanoja MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Xavier Edwards MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Griffin Conine MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Owen Caissie MIA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joe Mack MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Otto Lopez MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyle Stowers MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jakob Marsee MIA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kazuma Okamoto TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sean Keys TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alejandro Kirk TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathan Lukes TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ernie Clement TOR | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS