Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.67
Edge
+6.3%Last 20
40%8/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.65
Median
0.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
40%
17/42
Avg0.51
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curveball | 33.0% | 76.6 | — | — | — |
| Four-seam FB | 29.7% | 92.4 | .233 | .419 | 22.7% |
| Sweeper | 12.5% | 79.3 | .200 | .300 | 29.6% |
| Sinker | 10.1% | 92.1 | .213 | .298 | 14.5% |
| Changeup | 7.4% | 84.1 | .294 | .353 | 40.6% |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.4 | .250 | .438 | 27.8% |
| Slider | 1.2% | 82.2 | .150 | .450 | 50.9% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Dylan Crews clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Jorbit Vivas o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 83% · base 54% · n=12 · -137 dabble_us_dfs
Curtis Mead o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 66% · n=14 · -179 dabble_us_dfs
Jacob Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 59% · n=40 · -155 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DK Pick6 | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +136 | -133 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Betr PicksDK Pick6dabble_us_dfs
League vs HOU — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| James Wood WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Daylen Lile WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jorbit Vivas WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| James Wood WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
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