Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Dylan Crews

Washington Nationals · RF · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.84
Edge
-8.3%
Last 20
75%15/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.90
Median
1.0
L5
100%
5/5
L10
100%
10/10
L20
75%
15/20
2026
76%
13/17
Avg0.77
StreakW10

Tonight's matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Curveball
33.0%
76.6
Four-seam FB
29.7%
92.4.233.41922.7%
Sweeper
12.5%
79.3.200.30029.6%
Sinker
10.1%
92.1.213.29814.5%
Changeup
7.4%
84.1.294.35340.6%
Cutter
6.0%
87.4.250.43827.8%
Slider
1.2%
82.2.150.45050.9%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Dylan Crews clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Daylen Lile o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 67% · n=47 · -189 dabble_us_dfs
Jacob Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 59% · n=64 · -155 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
1@ NYM09/211@ ATL09/240vs CWS09/280vs NYM05/211@ ATL05/231@ ATL05/240vs SD05/300vs MIA06/032@ AZ06/060@ AZ06/071@ SF06/101vs SEA06/131vs SEA06/141vs KC06/172@ TB06/201@ TB06/211@ BAL06/282@ BOS07/011vs PIT07/041vs PIT07/050.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-229+170
dabble_us_dfs0.5-169+173

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs HOU Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Nasim Nuñez WSH07/072
James Wood WSH07/072
Luis García Jr. WSH07/072
Curtis Mead WSH07/072
CJ Abrams WSH07/071
Jorbit Vivas WSH07/071
Daylen Lile WSH07/070
Keibert Ruiz WSH07/070
Jacob Young WSH07/070
CJ Abrams WSH07/063
Nasim Nuñez WSH07/063
Curtis Mead WSH07/063
Drew Millas WSH07/061
Jacob Young WSH07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.091.333.286.154.563.167.083.100.235
sluggingPercentage
.364.611.286.3081.188.167.083.100.235
AVG
.091.333.286.154.563.167.083.100.235
OPS
.455.944.571.4621.750.333.167.200.471
Exit Velo
85.6296.3994.2595.8197.4592.9297.4694.5184.26