Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.84
Edge
-8.4%All 106 games
54%57/106 over 0.5
Window avg
0.75
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
54%
15/28
Avg0.75
StreakL2
Tonight's matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curveball | 33.0% | 76.6 | — | — | — |
| Four-seam FB | 29.7% | 92.4 | .233 | .419 | 22.7% |
| Sweeper | 12.5% | 79.3 | .200 | .300 | 29.6% |
| Sinker | 10.1% | 92.1 | .213 | .298 | 14.5% |
| Changeup | 7.4% | 84.1 | .294 | .353 | 40.6% |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.4 | .250 | .438 | 27.8% |
| Slider | 1.2% | 82.2 | .150 | .450 | 50.9% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Dylan Crews clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Daylen Lile o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 67% · n=47 · -189 dabble_us_dfs
Jacob Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 59% · n=64 · -155 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — all 106 games vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs HOU — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| James Wood WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jorbit Vivas WSH | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Daylen Lile WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Drew Millas WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
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