Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.37
Edge
-1.2%All 50 games
32%16/50 over 1.5
Window avg
1.28
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
57%
8/14
Avg1.28
StreakW2
Tonight's matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curveball | 33.0% | 76.6 | — | — | — |
| Four-seam FB | 29.7% | 92.4 | .233 | .419 | 22.7% |
| Sweeper | 12.5% | 79.3 | .200 | .300 | 29.6% |
| Sinker | 10.1% | 92.1 | .213 | .298 | 14.5% |
| Changeup | 7.4% | 84.1 | .294 | .353 | 40.6% |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.4 | .250 | .438 | 27.8% |
| Slider | 1.2% | 82.2 | .150 | .450 | 50.9% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Dylan Crews clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
James Wood o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 67% · n=46 · -172 dabble_us_dfs
Curtis Mead o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 66% · n=13 · -179 dabble_us_dfs
Nasim Nuñez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 53% · n=23 · -108 dabble_us_dfs
Nasim Nuñez o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 65% · base 53% · n=23 · -108 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — all 50 games vs 1.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +129 | -172 |
| Bovada | 1.5 | +130 | -170 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +166 | -164 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovadadabble_us_dfs
League vs HOU — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| James Wood WSH | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jorbit Vivas WSH | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jacob Young WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Daylen Lile WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Keibert Ruiz WSH | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Curtis Mead WSH | 07/06 | 7 | ✓ |
| CJ Abrams WSH | 07/06 | 6 | ✓ |
| James Wood WSH | 07/06 | 4 | ✓ |
| Nasim Nuñez WSH | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Luis García Jr. WSH | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
Exit Velo