Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jasson Domínguez

New York Yankees · LF · Bats S

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.30
Edge
-8.0%
Last 20
25%5/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.25
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
30%
9/30
Avg0.45
StreakL1

Tonight's matchup: Shane McClanahan (LHP)

Bats SwitchThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
36.9%
95.6.143.20022.2%
Changeup
28.8%
87.0.308.50037.0%
Slider
20.0%
88.3.222.55623.5%
Curveball
14.3%
82.1.4001.20046.7%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Jasson Domínguez clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Cody Bellinger o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 65% · n=51 · -185 dabble_us_dfs
Paul Goldschmidt o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 58% · n=48 · -222 dabble_us_dfs
Anthony Volpe o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 54% · n=52 · -132 dabble_us_dfs
Trent Grisham o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 56% · n=44 · -132 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Runs Scoredlast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs CWS06/170vs CWS06/180vs CIN06/190vs CIN06/200vs CIN06/210@ DET06/220@ DET06/231@ DET06/240@ BOS06/250@ BOS06/260@ BOS06/270@ BOS06/281vs DET06/290vs DET06/300vs DET07/010vs MIN07/031vs MIN07/040vs MIN07/051@ TB07/060@ TB07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

BookLineOverUnder
dabble_us_dfs0.5+193-192

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs TB Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Ben Rice NYY07/071
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY07/071
Trent Grisham NYY07/071
Max Schuemann NYY07/071
Ali Sánchez NYY07/070
José Caballero NYY07/070
Amed Rosario NYY07/070
Paul Goldschmidt NYY07/070
Cody Bellinger NYY07/070
José Caballero NYY07/062
Ben Rice NYY07/061
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY07/061
Cody Bellinger NYY07/060
Ryan McMahon NYY07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.000.333.250.250.304.200.400.154.167
Exit Velo
83.2091.2683.8785.3395.3787.7296.8095.2482.42
AVG
.000.333.250.250.304.200.400.154.167
sluggingPercentage
.000.333.500.625.783.300.800.231.333
OPS
.000.667.750.8751.087.5001.200.385.500