Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jasson Domínguez

New York Yankees · LF · Bats S

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.11
Edge
+1.3%
Last 20
10%2/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.10
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
10%
2/20
2026
13%
4/30
Avg0.10
StreakL3

Tonight's matchup: Shane McClanahan (LHP)

Bats SwitchThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
36.9%
95.6.143.20022.2%
Changeup
28.8%
87.0.308.50037.0%
Slider
20.0%
88.3.222.55623.5%
Curveball
14.3%
82.1.4001.20046.7%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Jasson Domínguez clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too

Cody Bellinger o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 90% · base 65% · n=10 · -185 dabble_us_dfs
Anthony Volpe o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 54% · n=9 · -132 dabble_us_dfs
Paul Goldschmidt o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 70% · base 39% · n=10 · +113 dabble_us_dfs
Cody Bellinger o1.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 60% · base 36% · n=10 · +150 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Home Runslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs CWS06/170vs CWS06/180vs CIN06/190vs CIN06/200vs CIN06/210@ DET06/220@ DET06/231@ DET06/240@ BOS06/250@ BOS06/260@ BOS06/270@ BOS06/280vs DET06/290vs DET06/300vs DET07/010vs MIN07/031vs MIN07/040vs MIN07/050@ TB07/060@ TB07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Home Runs

BookLineOverUnder
dabble_us_dfs0.5+995-909

Line movement — Home Runs

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs TB Home Runs, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 3/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Ben Rice NYY07/071
Paul Goldschmidt NYY07/070
Amed Rosario NYY07/070
José Caballero NYY07/070
Cody Bellinger NYY07/070
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY07/070
Max Schuemann NYY07/070
Trent Grisham NYY07/070
Ali Sánchez NYY07/070
José Caballero NYY07/062
Ben Rice NYY07/061
Austin Wells NYY07/060
Cody Bellinger NYY07/060
Trent Grisham NYY07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.000.333.250.250.304.200.400.154.167
Exit Velo
83.2091.2683.8785.3395.3787.7296.8095.2482.42
AVG
.000.333.250.250.304.200.400.154.167
sluggingPercentage
.000.333.500.625.783.300.800.231.333
OPS
.000.667.750.8751.087.5001.200.385.500