Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jasson Domínguez

New York Yankees · LF · Bats S

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.30
Edge
-8.0%
All 131 games
40%52/131 over 0.5
Window avg
0.50
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
32%
6/19
Avg0.50
StreakW1

Tonight's matchup: Shane McClanahan (LHP)

Bats SwitchThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
36.9%
95.6.143.20022.2%
Changeup
28.8%
87.0.308.50037.0%
Slider
20.0%
88.3.222.55623.5%
Curveball
14.3%
82.1.4001.20046.7%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Jasson Domínguez clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Cody Bellinger o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 65% · n=51 · -185 dabble_us_dfs
Paul Goldschmidt o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 58% · n=48 · -222 dabble_us_dfs
Anthony Volpe o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 54% · n=52 · -132 dabble_us_dfs
Trent Grisham o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 56% · n=44 · -132 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Runs Scoredall 131 games vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs WSH08/270@ CWS08/290@ CWS08/300@ HOU09/031@ HOU09/041vs TOR09/060vs DET09/100@ BOS09/132@ MIN09/170@ BAL09/211vs TOR10/080@ TEX04/270@ TEX04/280@ TEX04/290vs BAL05/022vs BAL05/031vs BAL05/040vs TEX05/050vs TEX05/061@ TOR06/130vs CIN06/190vs CIN06/210@ DET06/230@ BOS06/281vs DET06/290vs DET07/010vs MIN07/031vs MIN07/040vs MIN07/051@ TB07/060.5

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

BookLineOverUnder
dabble_us_dfs0.5+193-192

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs TB Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY07/071
Ben Rice NYY07/071
Max Schuemann NYY07/071
Trent Grisham NYY07/071
Cody Bellinger NYY07/070
Ali Sánchez NYY07/070
Amed Rosario NYY07/070
José Caballero NYY07/070
Paul Goldschmidt NYY07/070
José Caballero NYY07/062
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY07/061
Ben Rice NYY07/061
Cody Bellinger NYY07/060
Ryan McMahon NYY07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.000.333.250.250.304.200.400.154.167
Exit Velo
83.2091.2683.8785.3395.3787.7296.8095.2482.42
AVG
.000.333.250.250.304.200.400.154.167
sluggingPercentage
.000.333.500.625.783.300.800.231.333
OPS
.000.667.750.8751.087.5001.200.385.500