Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Zach Dezenzo

Houston Astros · DH · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.47
Edge
+0.4%
Last 73
30%22/73 over 0.5
Window avg
0.40
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
26%
6/23
Avg0.40
StreakW1

Tonight's matchup: Foster Griffin (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Cutter
32.1%
88.1
Four-seam FB
17.1%
91.5.350.70038.6%
Sweeper
14.5%
79.8.000.00022.2%
Curveball
10.5%
77.8
Changeup
10.4%
82.4
Sinker
10.3%
91.2.286.2869.1%
Splitter
5.1%
81.2

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Zach Dezenzo clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Yainer Diaz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 81% · base 76% · n=16 · -196 dabble_us_dfs
Jose Altuve o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 66% · n=18 · -227 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Runs Scoredlast 73 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ TB05/200vs SEA05/240vs OAK05/272vs OAK05/280vs TB05/290vs TB05/301vs TB05/310vs LAD05/061@ CIN05/080@ CIN05/090@ CIN05/100vs SEA05/111vs SEA05/120vs SEA05/130vs TEX05/150vs TEX05/160vs TEX05/170@ MIN05/180@ MIN05/191@ MIN05/200@ CHC05/231@ CHC05/241@ TEX05/250@ TEX05/260@ TEX05/280vs MIL05/310vs PIT06/030vs TB07/040vs TB07/052@ WSH07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

BookLineOverUnder
dabble_us_dfs0.5+170-167

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs WSH Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Christian Walker HOU07/072
Brice Matthews HOU07/071
Jose Altuve HOU07/071
Christian Vázquez HOU07/070
Cam Smith HOU07/070
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/070
Nick Allen HOU07/070
Isaac Paredes HOU07/070
Yainer Diaz HOU07/062
Braden Shewmake HOU07/062
Cam Smith HOU07/062
Brice Matthews HOU07/062
Jose Altuve HOU07/061
Isaac Paredes HOU07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
-.833.000.000.000.667.000.500.667
Exit Velo
-92.27-57.7081.4097.5171.7285.1386.90
AVG
-.333.000.000.000.667.000.333.333
onBasePercentage
-.333.000.000.000.667.000.333.333
OPS
-1.167.000.000.0001.333.000.8331.000