Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Zach Dezenzo

Houston Astros · DH · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.58
Edge
-14.1%
Last 20
40%8/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.45
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
39%
9/23
Avg0.67
StreakL2

Tonight's matchup: Foster Griffin (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Cutter
32.1%
88.1
Four-seam FB
17.1%
91.5.350.70038.6%
Sweeper
14.5%
79.8.000.00022.2%
Curveball
10.5%
77.8
Changeup
10.4%
82.4
Sinker
10.3%
91.2.286.2869.1%
Splitter
5.1%
81.2

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Zach Dezenzo clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Yainer Diaz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 81% · base 76% · n=27 · -196 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ CIN05/100vs SEA05/111vs SEA05/121vs SEA05/130vs TEX05/151vs TEX05/162vs TEX05/170@ MIN05/181@ MIN05/191@ MIN05/200@ CHC05/230@ CHC05/240@ TEX05/251@ TEX05/260@ TEX05/280vs MIL05/310vs PIT06/031vs TB07/040vs TB07/050@ WSH07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-165+124
dabble_us_dfs0.5-143+144

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs WSH Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Christian Vázquez HOU07/071
Jose Altuve HOU07/071
Brice Matthews HOU07/071
Nick Allen HOU07/071
Isaac Paredes HOU07/071
Christian Walker HOU07/071
Cam Smith HOU07/070
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/070
Cam Smith HOU07/062
Braden Shewmake HOU07/062
Yainer Diaz HOU07/062
Brice Matthews HOU07/062
Christian Walker HOU07/062
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
-.833.000.000.000.667.000.500.667
Exit Velo
-92.27-57.7081.4097.5171.7285.1386.90
AVG
-.333.000.000.000.667.000.333.333
onBasePercentage
-.333.000.000.000.667.000.333.333
OPS
-1.167.000.000.0001.333.000.8331.000