Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Zach Dezenzo

Houston Astros · DH · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.58
Edge
-14.1%
All 27 games
52%14/27 over 0.5
Window avg
0.70
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
22%
2/9
Avg0.70
StreakL4

Tonight's matchup: Foster Griffin (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Cutter
32.1%
88.1
Four-seam FB
17.1%
91.5.350.70038.6%
Sweeper
14.5%
79.8.000.00022.2%
Curveball
10.5%
77.8
Changeup
10.4%
82.4
Sinker
10.3%
91.2.286.2869.1%
Splitter
5.1%
81.2

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Zach Dezenzo clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Yainer Diaz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 81% · base 76% · n=27 · -196 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitsall 27 games vs 0.5

official box scores
2@ TEX08/072@ BOS08/100@ BOS08/110vs CWS08/181vs BOS08/211@ PHI08/281vs SF04/020@ MIN04/061@ KC04/270vs DET04/301@ CWS05/032@ CWS05/041@ MIL05/070vs CIN05/110@ TEX05/181vs SEA05/242vs OAK05/281vs TB05/310vs LAD05/060@ CIN05/090@ CIN05/102vs TEX05/171@ MIN05/200@ CHC05/230@ CHC05/240vs MIL05/310vs TB07/050.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-165+124
dabble_us_dfs0.5-143+144

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs WSH Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Christian Walker HOU07/071
Isaac Paredes HOU07/071
Nick Allen HOU07/071
Brice Matthews HOU07/071
Christian Vázquez HOU07/071
Jose Altuve HOU07/071
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/070
Cam Smith HOU07/070
Christian Walker HOU07/062
Cam Smith HOU07/062
Yainer Diaz HOU07/062
Brice Matthews HOU07/062
Braden Shewmake HOU07/062
Jose Altuve HOU07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
-.833.000.000.000.667.000.500.667
Exit Velo
-92.27-57.7081.4097.5171.7285.1386.90
AVG
-.333.000.000.000.667.000.333.333
onBasePercentage
-.333.000.000.000.667.000.333.333
OPS
-1.167.000.000.0001.333.000.8331.000