Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Zach Dezenzo

Houston Astros · DH · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.05
Edge
-8.9%
All 73 games
0%0/68 over 1 · 5 push
Window avg
0.07
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
0%
0/20
2026
0%
0/22
Avg0.07
StreakL21

Tonight's matchup: Foster Griffin (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Cutter
32.1%
88.1
Four-seam FB
17.1%
91.5.350.70038.6%
Sweeper
14.5%
79.8.000.00022.2%
Curveball
10.5%
77.8
Changeup
10.4%
82.4
Sinker
10.3%
91.2.286.2869.1%
Splitter
5.1%
81.2

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Home Runsall 73 games vs 1

official box scores
0@ TB05/200vs SEA05/240vs OAK05/271vs OAK05/280vs TB05/290vs TB05/300vs TB05/310vs LAD05/061@ CIN05/080@ CIN05/090@ CIN05/100vs SEA05/110vs SEA05/120vs SEA05/130vs TEX05/150vs TEX05/160vs TEX05/170@ MIN05/180@ MIN05/190@ MIN05/200@ CHC05/230@ CHC05/240@ TEX05/250@ TEX05/260@ TEX05/280vs MIL05/310vs PIT06/030vs TB07/040vs TB07/050@ WSH07/071

Tonight's odds — Home Runs

BookLineOverUnder
dabble_us_dfs0.5+640-625

Line movement — Home Runs

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs WSH Home Runs, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jose Altuve HOU07/071
Isaac Paredes HOU07/070
Christian Walker HOU07/070
Christian Vázquez HOU07/070
Brice Matthews HOU07/070
Cam Smith HOU07/070
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/070
Nick Allen HOU07/070
Jose Altuve HOU07/061
Yainer Diaz HOU07/061
Brice Matthews HOU07/061
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/060
LaMonte Wade Jr. HOU07/060
Isaac Paredes HOU07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
-.833.000.000.000.667.000.500.667
Exit Velo
-92.27-57.7081.4097.5171.7285.1386.90
AVG
-.333.000.000.000.667.000.333.333
onBasePercentage
-.333.000.000.000.667.000.333.333
OPS
-1.167.000.000.0001.333.000.8331.000