Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.51
Edge
-3.3%Last 20
45%9/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.45
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
41%
33/80
Avg0.47
StreakW1
Tonight's matchup: Michael McGreevy (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 25.7% | 91.6 | .241 | .410 | 31.8% |
| Changeup | 21.0% | 86.7 | .286 | .381 | 62.0% |
| Sinker | 16.5% | 90.4 | .294 | .353 | 16.1% |
| Cutter | 11.3% | 86.8 | .435 | .913 | 42.1% |
| Curveball | 11.2% | 77.9 | .308 | .577 | 29.5% |
| Sweeper | 10.2% | 81.4 | .389 | .556 | 47.1% |
| Slider | 4.1% | 83.4 | .184 | .395 | 48.6% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Garrett Mitchell clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Brice Turang o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 66% · n=67 · -225 DraftKings
Sal Frelick o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 60% · n=61 · -172 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +132 | -132 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
dabble_us_dfsBetr Picks
League vs STL — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Cooper Pratt MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Gary Sánchez MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Cooper Pratt MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Andrew Vaughn MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Luis Lara MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Brice Turang MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joey Ortiz MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Brice Turang MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Christian Yelich MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sal Frelick MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| William Contreras MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS