Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.87
Edge
-5.2%Last 20
65%13/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.95
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
65%
13/20
2026
63%
57/91
Avg0.90
StreakL1
Parlay pairs — when Taylor Ward clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Pete Alonso o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 64% · n=62 · -250 BetOnline
Adley Rutschman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 61% · n=44 · -252 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKings
League vs CHC — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Adley Rutschman BAL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Blaze Alexander BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Pete Alonso BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Samuel Basallo BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Gunnar Henderson BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jackson Holliday BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Coby Mayo BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dylan Beavers BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Masyn Winn STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Bryan Torres STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
OPS
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
AVG