Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.25
Edge
-9.8%Last 20
40%8/20 over 2.5
Window avg
1.95
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
26%
11/43
Avg1.85
StreakW1
Parlay pairs — when Taylor Ward clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Adley Rutschman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 61% · n=23 · -252 DraftKings
Coby Mayo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 54% · n=24 · -123 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 2.5
away only · official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +124 | -165 |
| BetOnline | 1.5 | +134 | -175 |
| Bovada | 1.5 | +125 | -165 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKingsBovada
League vs CHC — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Adley Rutschman BAL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Gunnar Henderson BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Pete Alonso BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Samuel Basallo BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Blaze Alexander BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Dylan Beavers BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jackson Holliday BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Coby Mayo BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Masyn Winn STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Lars Nootbaar STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
OPS
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
AVG