Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.09
Edge
-7.1%Last 20
5%1/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.05
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
5%
1/20
2026
5%
3/64
Avg0.17
StreakL7
Tonight's matchup: Colin Rea (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 41.9% | 93.7 | .305 | .505 | 20.8% |
| Changeup | 17.8% | 87.7 | .276 | .310 | 7.8% |
| Slider | 11.1% | 86.0 | .149 | .213 | 27.7% |
| Sweeper | 9.2% | 83.0 | .088 | .088 | 25.4% |
| Sinker | 9.1% | 92.4 | .365 | .412 | 7.9% |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.0 | .240 | .360 | 21.7% |
| Curveball | 5.0% | 79.8 | .000 | .000 | 35.5% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Home Runs — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +545 | -526 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs CHC — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 1/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Jackson Holliday BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Samuel Basallo BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dylan Beavers BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Adley Rutschman BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Gunnar Henderson BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Blaze Alexander BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Pete Alonso BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Coby Mayo BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Bryan Torres STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS