Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Taylor Ward

Baltimore Orioles · LF · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.25
Edge
-9.8%
Last 20
30%6/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.20
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
30%
8/27
Avg1.70
StreakL1

Parlay pairs — when Taylor Ward clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Adley Rutschman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 61% · n=23 · -252 DraftKings
Coby Mayo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 54% · n=24 · -123 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1.5

official box scores
0@ NYY05/030vs OAK05/080vs NYY05/111vs NYY05/130@ WSH05/172@ TB05/180@ TB05/201vs DET05/241vs TB05/251vs TB05/272vs TOR05/281vs TOR05/290@ BOS06/023@ BOS06/035@ LAA06/223vs WSH06/260vs WSH06/271vs CWS07/013@ CIN07/050vs CHC07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+124-165
BetOnline1.5+134-175
Bovada1.5+125-165

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKingsBovada

League vs CHC Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Adley Rutschman BAL07/072
Gunnar Henderson BAL07/071
Samuel Basallo BAL07/071
Pete Alonso BAL07/071
Blaze Alexander BAL07/071
Dylan Beavers BAL07/070
Coby Mayo BAL07/070
Jackson Holliday BAL07/070
Jordan Walker STL07/054
JJ Wetherholt STL07/052
Alec Burleson STL07/052
Masyn Winn STL07/051
Nathan Church STL07/051
Iván Herrera STL07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.423.290.158.552.222.171.357.231.216
OPS
1.038.742.3681.379.574.486.750.462.432
Exit Velo
87.6494.3693.9693.8192.7789.8591.9688.1583.93
sluggingPercentage
.615.452.222.857.365.314.407.231.216
AVG
.423.290.167.536.231.171.333.231.216