Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.25
Edge
-9.8%Last 7
14%1/7 over 1.5
Window avg
1.29
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
14%
1/7
L20
14%
1/7
2026
0%
0/1
Avg1.29
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Colin Rea (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 41.9% | 93.7 | .305 | .505 | 20.8% |
| Changeup | 17.8% | 87.7 | .276 | .310 | 7.8% |
| Slider | 11.1% | 86.0 | .149 | .213 | 27.7% |
| Sweeper | 9.2% | 83.0 | .088 | .088 | 25.4% |
| Sinker | 9.1% | 92.4 | .365 | .412 | 7.9% |
| Cutter | 6.0% | 87.0 | .240 | .360 | 21.7% |
| Curveball | 5.0% | 79.8 | .000 | .000 | 35.5% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Taylor Ward clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Adley Rutschman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 61% · n=23 · -252 DraftKings
Coby Mayo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 54% · n=24 · -123 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 7 vs 1.5
vs CHC only · official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +124 | -165 |
| BetOnline | 1.5 | +134 | -175 |
| Bovada | 1.5 | +125 | -165 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKingsBovada
League vs CHC — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Adley Rutschman BAL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Gunnar Henderson BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Blaze Alexander BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Pete Alonso BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Samuel Basallo BAL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Coby Mayo BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dylan Beavers BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jackson Holliday BAL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| Alec Burleson STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Masyn Winn STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS