Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.30
Edge
+7.3%Last 20
75%15/20 over 0.5
Window avg
1.35
Median
1.0
L5
100%
5/5
L10
90%
9/10
L20
75%
15/20
2026
66%
57/86
Avg1.08
StreakW7
Parlay pairs — when Nick Gonzales clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Ryan O'Hearn o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 65% · n=48 · -212 DraftKings
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 65% · n=53 · -224 DraftKings
Jared Triolo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 59% · n=123 · -130 DraftKings
Esmerlyn Valdez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 61% · n=17 · -153 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs ATL — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Ryan O'Hearn PIT | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Brandon Lowe PIT | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Tyler Callihan PIT | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Esmerlyn Valdez PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Mangum PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jared Triolo PIT | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Henry Davis PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Bryan Reynolds PIT | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Bo Bichette NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Francisco Alvarez NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Carson Benge NYM | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Brett Baty NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jared Young NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ronny Mauricio NYM | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
onBasePercentage