Nick Gonzales

Pittsburgh Pirates · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line

0.5

Model proj

0.05

Edge

—

Batter Strikeouts Hits Hits + Runs + RBIs Home Runs RBIs Runs Scored Stolen Bases Total Bases Walks

Last20

Trending splits

Last 17

12%2/17 over 0.5

Window avg

0.12

Median

0.0

0/5

L10

10%

1/10

L20

12%

2/17

2026

0/2

Avg0.12

StreakL8

Home Runs — last 17 vs 0.5

vs MIL only · official box scores

Parlay pairs — when Nick Gonzales clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too

Jared Triolo o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 70% · base 58% · n=10 · -147 DraftKings

Jared Triolo o0.5 Total Bases

hits when he does 70% · base 58% · n=10 · -149 BetOnline

Jared Triolo o0.5 RBIs

hits when he does 60% · base 20% · n=10 · +280 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Tonight's odds — Home Runs

0.5

• = main line. Alt ladders load in the hour before first pitch.

Book	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Caesars	+1100	—
BetRivers	+1150	—

Home Runs · best price bolded · odds refresh every poll

Line movement — Home Runs

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

CaesarsBetRivers

Time	Book	Move
8:00 AM ET	BetRivers	1.5 → 0.5

League vs MIL — Home Runs, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 3/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jordan Walker STL	07/09	1	✓
Masyn Winn STL	07/09	0	✗
Alec Burleson STL	07/09	0	✗
Iván Herrera STL	07/09	0	✗
Bryan Torres STL	07/09	0	✗
Lars Nootbaar STL	07/09	0	✗
JJ Wetherholt STL	07/09	0	✗
Nathan Church STL	07/09	0	✗
José Fermín STL	07/09	0	✗
José Fermín STL	07/08	1	✓
Alec Burleson STL	07/08	1	✓
Lars Nootbaar STL	07/08	0	✗
Nelson Velázquez STL	07/08	0	✗
Masyn Winn STL	07/08	0	✗

Gonzales's hitting zones (batter data)

Where he produces at the plate — official MLB hot/cold zones from his own at-bats, catcher's view, red hot / blue cold. Compare against the opposing pitcher's arsenal above: a fastball-heavy righty living up-and-in is a problem if that zone runs cold.

Advantage: hits .526 middle-and-in · Weakness: .087 up

sluggingPercentage

Exit Velo

AVG

OPS

onBasePercentage