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Belgium @ Spain
3:00 PM ET · scheduledLine shop
Game lines post every 30 minutes — none yet for this matchup.
Biggest model edges in this gameHow much our model disagrees with the sportsbooks. +8% over means we think the Over hits 8 points more often than the odds imply — positive numbers favor the Over, negative the Under.
Props post game-day morning.
Attack vs keeperTournament shot volume, xG and penalty record for each attack, against the opposing goalkeeper's save rate. Green/red dots on the goal mouth show where penalties were placed and whether they scored.
BEL attackslight attacking edge
Shots/gm
21.4
SOT/gm
6.2
Goals
11
xG/gm
1.98
Penalties 0/0
vs keeper: Simón 6 saves · 100% save rate
ESP attackclear attacking edge
Shots/gm
18.6
SOT/gm
6.2
Goals
8
xG/gm
1.91
Penalties 0/0
vs keeper: Courtois 10 saves · 67% save rate
World Cup 2026 only. Goal-mouth dots: green scored, redsaved/missed, shooter's view.