Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jake Cronenworth

San Diego Padres · 1B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.70
Edge
-7.7%
Trending splitsvs LHP 25%(8)
Last 20
40%8/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.65
Median
0.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
40%
16/40
Avg0.79
StreakW2

Parlay pairs — when Jake Cronenworth clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Manny Machado o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 66% · n=188 · -180 DraftKings
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 65% · n=179 · -206 DraftKings
Gavin Sheets o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 58% · n=89 · -148 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ LAA04/191@ COL04/210@ COL04/222@ COL04/230@ AZ04/250@ AZ04/260vs CHC04/280vs CHC04/291vs CWS05/020vs CWS05/030@ SF05/040@ CHC06/290@ CHC06/303@ CHC07/011@ LAD07/022@ LAD07/030@ LAD07/040@ LAD07/052vs AZ07/061vs AZ07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-162+122

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs AZ Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Luis Campusano SD07/072
Samad Taylor SD07/071
Jackson Merrill SD07/071
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/071
Sung-Mun Song SD07/070
Xander Bogaerts SD07/070
Manny Machado SD07/070
Gavin Sheets SD07/070
Jackson Merrill SD07/062
Samad Taylor SD07/061
Gavin Sheets SD07/061
Manny Machado SD07/061
Ty France SD07/061
Sung-Mun Song SD07/060