Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.70
Edge
-7.7%Last 20
40%8/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.60
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
33%
4/12
Avg0.80
StreakW1
Parlay pairs — when Jake Cronenworth clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Manny Machado o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 66% · n=188 · -180 DraftKings
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 65% · n=179 · -206 DraftKings
Gavin Sheets o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 58% · n=89 · -148 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs AZ — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Luis Campusano SD | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jackson Merrill SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Sung-Mun Song SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Xander Bogaerts SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jackson Merrill SD | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ty France SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Sung-Mun Song SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |