Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.70
Edge
-7.7%Last 15
73%11/15 over 0.5
Window avg
0.87
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
75%
15/20
2026
50%
2/4
Avg1.10
StreakW2
Tonight's matchup: Jose Cabrera (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 28.8% | 89.6 | .125 | .125 | 6.7% |
| Four-seam FB | 26.8% | 93.4 | .239 | .391 | 13.0% |
| Sweeper | 16.1% | 83.4 | .000 | .000 | 33.3% |
| Curveball | 12.7% | 86.3 | .214 | .286 | 35.0% |
| Changeup | 7.8% | 86.7 | .133 | .133 | 58.3% |
| Sinker | 7.8% | 93.0 | .200 | .200 | 18.4% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jake Cronenworth clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Manny Machado o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 66% · n=188 · -167 dabble_us_dfs
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 65% · n=179 · -206 DraftKings
Gavin Sheets o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 58% · n=89 · -148 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 15 vs 0.5
vs AZ only · official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs AZ — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Luis Campusano SD | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jackson Merrill SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Xander Bogaerts SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sung-Mun Song SD | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jackson Merrill SD | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Samad Taylor SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Gavin Sheets SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ty France SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Manny Machado SD | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. SD | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS