Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.36
Edge
-8.3%Last 20
45%9/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.55
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
41%
14/34
Avg0.53
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Gerrit Cole (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 44.0% | 93.5 | .182 | .343 | 23.4% |
| Slider | 18.5% | 87.2 | .120 | .240 | 24.6% |
| Changeup | 15.5% | 83.7 | .217 | .348 | 13.6% |
| Knuckle Curve | 14.3% | 81.2 | — | — | — |
| Sinker | 7.8% | 90.6 | .296 | .407 | 15.2% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Cedric Mullins clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Taylor Walls o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 80% · base 54% · n=25 · +120 dabble_us_dfs
Taylor Walls o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 80% · base 54% · n=25 · +111 dabble_us_dfs
Chandler Simpson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 69% · n=24 · -213 BetOnline
Nick Fortes o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 61% · n=21 · -127 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +159 | -156 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs NYY — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Richie Palacios TB | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Victor Mesa Jr. TB | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Hunter Feduccia TB | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Taylor Walls TB | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Yandy Díaz TB | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Junior Caminero TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonathan Aranda TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Chandler Simpson TB | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Chandler Simpson TB | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jonathan Aranda TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Richie Palacios TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nick Fortes TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Taylor Walls TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Yandy Díaz TB | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
onBasePercentage
OPS