Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.48
Edge
+4.9%Last 267
40%106/267 over 1.5
Window avg
1.55
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
43%
36/83
Avg1.55
StreakL3
Tonight's matchup: Dylan Cease (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 36.1% | 97.7 | .380 | .550 | 10.4% |
| Slider | 29.1% | 89.3 | .326 | .348 | 21.8% |
| Changeup | 11.3% | 83.6 | .304 | .348 | 9.3% |
| Sinker | 9.8% | 96.3 | .233 | .317 | 11.6% |
| Knuckle Curve | 9.3% | 82.7 | — | — | — |
| Sweeper | 4.4% | 84.2 | .308 | .654 | 6.3% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jung Hoo Lee clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Heliot Ramos o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 70% · n=75 · -180 DraftKings
Rafael Devers o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 65% · n=64 · -146 DraftKings
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 61% · n=25 · -122 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 267 vs 1.5
official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs TOR — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Luis Arraez SF | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Heliot Ramos SF | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Rafael Devers SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Willy Adames SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Victor Bericoto SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Casey Schmitt SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Bryce Eldridge SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Drew Cavanaugh SF | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Heliot Ramos SF | 07/06 | 11 | ✓ |
| Victor Bericoto SF | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Bryce Eldridge SF | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Luis Arraez SF | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
| Eric Haase SF | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Rafael Devers SF | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS