Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
2.38
Edge
+23.0%Last 15
67%10/15 over 1.5
Window avg
2.20
Median
2.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
75%
15/20
2026
47%
43/91
Avg1.65
StreakW2
Tonight's matchup: Dean Kremer (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Splitter | 39.4% | 82.5 | .381 | .857 | 28.6% |
| Four-seam FB | 21.3% | 93.5 | .226 | .443 | 25.1% |
| Sinker | 16.9% | 92.3 | .429 | .612 | 17.9% |
| Curveball | 14.2% | 77.2 | .310 | .310 | 33.3% |
| Cutter | 5.5% | 86.8 | .313 | .563 | 32.7% |
| Slider | 2.8% | 83.4 | .341 | .732 | 32.7% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Pete Crow-Armstrong clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Alex Bregman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 69% · n=47 · -238 BetOnline
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 66% · n=127 · -183 DraftKings
Dansby Swanson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 62% · n=140 · -147 DraftKings
Ian Happ o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 60% · n=135 · -173 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 15 vs 1.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +104 | -139 |
| Bovada | 1.5 | +105 | -135 |
| BetOnline | 1.5 | +109 | -141 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
BetOnlineDraftKingsBovada
League vs BAL — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Alex Bregman CHC | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Miguel Amaya CHC | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Dansby Swanson CHC | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Michael Conforto CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Nico Hoerner CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Michael Busch CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Seiya Suzuki CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ian Happ CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Spencer Steer CIN | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| Sal Stewart CIN | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Tyler Stephenson CIN | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Edwin Arroyo CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Noelvi Marte CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Eugenio Suárez CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
AVG
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo