Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Chicago Cubs · CF · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
2.38
Edge
+23.0%
Trending splitsDay 42%(36)
Last 20
70%14/20 over 1.5
Window avg
2.95
Median
2.5
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
70%
14/20
2026
51%
28/55
Avg1.70
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Pete Crow-Armstrong clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Alex Bregman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 69% · n=47 · -238 BetOnline
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 66% · n=127 · -183 DraftKings
Dansby Swanson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 62% · n=140 · -147 DraftKings
Ian Happ o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 60% · n=135 · -173 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1.5

official box scores
4vs OAK06/035vs OAK06/041vs SF06/070@ COL06/093@ COL06/102@ SF06/127@ SF06/1310vs COL06/154vs COL06/164vs COL06/174@ NYM06/232@ NYM06/241@ NYM06/243@ NYM06/250@ MIL06/260@ MIL06/272vs SD06/294vs SD06/301vs STL07/042@ BAL07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+104-139
Bovada1.5+105-135
BetOnline1.5+109-141

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKingsBovada

League vs BAL Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Miguel Amaya CHC07/073
Alex Bregman CHC07/073
Dansby Swanson CHC07/072
Michael Conforto CHC07/071
Nico Hoerner CHC07/071
Seiya Suzuki CHC07/070
Michael Busch CHC07/070
Ian Happ CHC07/070
Spencer Steer CIN07/054
Tyler Stephenson CIN07/052
Sal Stewart CIN07/052
Edwin Arroyo CIN07/051
Elly De La Cruz CIN07/050
Noelvi Marte CIN07/050

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.444.5001.077.9261.2201.667.939.930.846
onBasePercentage
.222.150.462.296.439.524.333.279.385
AVG
.176.158.417.308.439.524.333.286.385
sluggingPercentage
.235.368.667.654.7801.143.606.667.462
Exit Velo
92.0789.3174.0894.5590.0984.6797.6789.8184.26